Chadinee Kongrahad . Thailand Electricity Generation Mix : Least Cost and Least CO2 Emission Scenarios. Master's Degree(Energy Technology and Management). King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi. KMUTT Library. : King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, 2011.
Thailand Electricity Generation Mix : Least Cost and Least CO2 Emission Scenarios
Abstract:
Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), Independent Power
Producers (IPP), Small Power Producers (SPP), and Very Small Power Producers (VSPP)
are the main electricity generators in Thailand, and utilize different kinds of fuel, mainly
natural gas, coal, and renewable energy. The power generation mix in the Power
Development Plan (PDP) was developed under the available generation capacity and the
requirements to be fulfilled in different power purchasing agreements, which may not
satisfy the minimum generation cost or the least CO2 emission constraints. It is essential
for the planner to investigate alternative solutions that would be appropriate in improving
power generation mix and CO2 emission reduction.
This study presents the alternative power generation plans in Thailand for the least
generation cost and the least CO2 emissions, based on the available generators with
different fuels. The power generation information and assumptions from the Power
Development Plan: PDP2010 (rev. 3) are adopted as the reference scenario. The other two
power generation mix scenarios; the least cost scenario and the least CO2 emission
scenario, which are considered in this study from the year 2012 to 2030, are included in the
study. Apart from the assumption that water and other renewable resource are available
for electricity generation throughout the year, the utilization of the generators to their full
capacities is prioritized over the requirements bound in the power purchasing agreements
(PPA) between private power producers and EGAT.
Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE), which is the levelized average generation
cost over the lifetime of the project in Baht per kWh is the important factor for
consideration. This study does not include transmission costs and CO2 emission costs in
LCOE calculations. The CO2 emission is calculated by using emission factors provided by
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines for national greenhouse
gas inventories (2006) and the assessment of the contaminants in the exhaust gas of the
power plants from EGAT's research.
The results of LCOE calculations are comparable with those obtained by other
studies. Higher efficiency power technologies yield lower CO2 emissions than lower
efficiency power technologies. The least cost scenario provides generation mix with lower
generation costs than those in the existing scenario by 10% to 14%, while the least CO2
emission scenario shows generation mix with lower CO2 emission than those existing
scenario and PDP2010 (rev. 3) by 24% to 28% and 22% to 30%, respectively.
King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi. KMUTT Library